Coppa Italia - (31-Jan-2007)

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Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
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AC Milan at AS ROMA
First leg of semi-final clash saw Roma come back from an early 2-0 deficit to earn a 2-2 draw, with all four goals scored in the first half. The result was as good as a win for Roma, who will not be pressured in having to beat AC Milan to advance. Spalletti does not have the luxury of Mancini with Inter, who can rest the complete starting cast against Sampdoria on Thursday. Sunday's match at Inter Milan will be pivotal for the Scudetto; a loss by Roma, and you could pretty much close the book on the championship. As a matter of fact, even a draw could be sufficient to dampen any hopes Roma has of catching Inter. Spalletti will probably field the same line-up that he's been using in Champions League play, a necessary balancing act to rest some of the starting ten who will face Inter on Sunday. <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:City><st1:place>Milan</st1:place></st1:City> will go to l’Olimpico to win, and will probably have to attack early and often. The key here will be Roma’s midfield that will patiently wait for the counter-attack opportunity. It’s going to very difficult for <st1:City><st1:place>Milan</st1:place></st1:City> to pull out the victory, and I don’t think they will be able to do it. There is no look ahead here for the Romans, who will be in a defensive <st1:date Month="4" Day="4" Year="2002">4-4-2</st1:date>, and could capitalize from <st1:City><st1:place>Milan</st1:place></st1:City>’s impatience as the game wears down in the second half.
The play:
<st1:Street><st1:address>ROMA PK</st1:address></st1:Street> and -0.5 +100 (6 units)
ROMA over 2 and 2.5 -122 (3 units)
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p> </o:p>
MA says: It’s the useless Coppa Italia, play at your risk. Much, much more value in Friday’s Serie A, and B games…
<o:p> </o:p>
Cheers and good luck,
<o:p> </o:p>
MA
 

Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
Joined
Sep 26, 2006
Messages
1,383
Tokens
the mad actuarian said:
AC Milan at AS ROMA
First leg of semi-final clash saw Roma come back from an early 2-0 deficit to earn a 2-2 draw, with all four goals scored in the first half. The result was as good as a win for Roma, who will not be pressured in having to beat AC Milan to advance. Spalletti does not have the luxury of Mancini with Inter, who can rest the complete starting cast against Sampdoria on Thursday. Sunday's match at Inter Milan will be pivotal for the Scudetto; a loss by Roma, and you could pretty much close the book on the championship. As a matter of fact, even a draw could be sufficient to dampen any hopes Roma has of catching Inter. Spalletti will probably field the same line-up that he's been using in Champions League play, a necessary balancing act to rest some of the starting ten who will face Inter on Sunday. <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:City><st1:place>Milan</st1:place></st1:City> will go to l’Olimpico to win, and will probably have to attack early and often. The key here will be Roma’s midfield that will patiently wait for the counter-attack opportunity. It’s going to very difficult for <st1:City><st1:place>Milan</st1:place></st1:City> to pull out the victory, and I don’t think they will be able to do it. There is no look ahead here for the Romans, who will be in a defensive <st1:date Year="2002" Day="4" Month="4">4-4-2</st1:date>, and could capitalize from <st1:City><st1:place>Milan</st1:place></st1:City>’s impatience as the game wears down in the second half.
The play:
<st1:Street><st1:address>ROMA PK</st1:address></st1:Street> and -0.5 +100 (6 units)
ROMA over 2 and 2.5 -122 (3 units)
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
MA says: It’s the useless Coppa Italia, play at your risk. Much, much more value in Friday’s Serie A, and B games…
<o:p></o:p>
Cheers and good luck,
<o:p></o:p>
MA

AS ROMA 3 AC Milan 1
W2-L0 (+9.0 units)
 

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